Drop chances

ItemStage 10Stage 50Stage 100Avg count
Empty Water Jar55%55%55%0.55
Home Cooking Weekly50%50%50%0.5
Southern Farming50%50%50%0.5
Murky Water19%19%19%0.19
Charred Meat14%14%14%0.15
Can of Pears14%14%14%0.15
Chicken Ration14%14%14%0.15
Old Sham Sandwich14%14%14%0.14
Can of Miso14%14%14%0.14
Can of Cat Food14%14%14%0.14
Cornmeal14%14%14%0.14
Chicken Soup14%14%14%0.14
Water11%11%11%0.11
Can of Pasta7.7%7.7%7.7%0.08
Can of Salmon7.7%7.7%7.7%0.08
Can of Sham7.7%7.7%7.7%0.08
Can of Stock7.6%7.6%7.6%0.08
Can of Tuna7.6%7.6%7.6%0.08
Can of Dog Food7.5%7.5%7.5%0.08
Can of Peas7.5%7.5%7.5%0.08
Large Beef Ration7.5%7.5%7.5%0.08
Lamb Rations7.4%7.4%7.4%0.08
Can of Chili7.3%7.3%7.3%0.07
Pure Mineral Water3.7%3.7%3.7%0.04
Sham Chowder1.9%1.9%1.9%0.02
Blueberry Pie1.9%1.9%1.9%0.02
Hobo Stew1.9%1.9%1.9%0.02
Meat Stew1.8%1.8%1.8%0.02
Beer1.3%1.3%1.3%0.01
Yucca Juice1.2%1.2%1.2%0.01
Goldenrod Tea1.2%1.2%1.2%0.01
Coffee1.2%1.2%1.2%0.01
Red Tea1.2%1.2%1.2%0.01
Yucca Juice Smoothie0.91%0.91%0.91%0.01
Mega Crush0.89%0.89%0.89%0.01
Grandpa's Learnin' Elixir0.87%0.87%0.87%0.01
Grandpa's Awesome Sauce0.86%0.86%0.86%0.01
Grandpa's Moonshine0.82%0.82%0.82%0.01
Blackstrap Coffee0.80%0.80%0.80%0.01

Average count per open at loot stage 50. From 40,000 simulated opens per stage; perks that raise loot are not counted.